Photo Credit: Thisday
Next month is gearing up to be a very eventful period for Nigeria political calendar as the two major political parties in the country will hold their national convention.
The Peoples Democratic Party is expected to elect new leadership that will run the affairs of the party for the next four years.
And more importantly, the new leadership will lead PDP to battle against APC in the 2023 presidential election. The former ruling party which was toppled by APC in 2015, is determined to win back the Presidency in 2023.
Photo Credit: Daily Trust
But the biggest prize at stake at the PDP convention is the Chairmanship position because whoever wins the chairmanship controls the party structure.
As expected, there are diverse interests and groups within the party all sponsoring different candidates for the position. But close attention is paid to Governor Nyesom Wike’s camp because of his recent history with the party.
According to a media report in Thisday Newspaper, Wike's candidate in the contest is former PDP zonal Chairman, Chief Dan Orbih. But many analysts do not consider Orbih a strong contender in the race.
Orbih Middle with other members of PDP Zonal executives ( Photo Credit: facebook)
In this report, I will analyse reasons why Chief Orbih may not win the chairmanship race despite Wike's support.
Dan Orbih is not a strong candidate and does not possess his political structure
No one can dismiss the fact that Chief Orbih has paid his dues in the PDP. He has been a loyal member of the party for decades and was at one point the chairman of the Edo State chapter of the party. He was also the National Vice Chairman of the party. However, Orbih cannot be reckoned with as a force within PDP.
Dan Orbih (Photo Credit: PM News)
He also has not held any major public office. So, Orbih does not have a strong political structure of his own to push his candidacy. He only has Wike to rely on. And should Wike decide to abandoned him based on political exigency, his weakness will be exposed.
There is an apparent gang up against Wike which may negatively affect Orbih
Within the PDP, there is a subtle move to check Wike's overbearing influence on PDP structure. Stakeholders are working hard to ensure that the River State Governor does not have strong control over the party in such a way that he can unilaterally take decisions for the party or ignore party elders.
One of the ways they are doing that is to create caucuses like ex-PDP governors and ex-PDP ministers groups. This group has sponsored their candidate to counter Wike's candidate.
Photo Credit: NairaLand
Their candidate is former Osun State Governor Olagunsoye Oyinlola and they have committed to making certain that Oyinlola triumphs over Orbih. This will ensure that Wike's powers within the party are trimmed.
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